Near the end of September, California’s CalCAT modeling system projected a near-doubling in COVID-19 hospitalizations by the end of October, with public health officials warning of a potential surge.
“Our short-term forecast for today’s conditions predicts an increase in hospitalizations a month from now,” California Health and Human Services Secretary Dr. Mark Ghaly said at the time. “Currently, we’re at 2,578 confirmed COVID-positive individuals in the hospitals, but a month from now … our projections show that we’ll be just shy of 5,000 hospitalizations.”
It is now the end of October, and hospitalizations have not doubled to 5,000. On Wednesday, the state’s official dashboard reported that 2,342 COVID-19-positive patients are currently hospitalized, which is actually a decrease from the confirmed positive patient figure Ghaly reported at the end of September.
At the time of the prediction, there were clues that fears of a hospitalization surge were overblown.
Read the rest of the story on SFGATE
Get Citizensjournal.us Headlines free SUBSCRIPTION. Keep us publishing – DONATE
Raise your hand if you think that massive hospitalizations were avoided by the CCP virus having already killed off the weak and now it’s primarily the strong that are getting only minor, inconvenient symptoms.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/national/coronavirus-us-cases-deaths/?itid=hp_pandemic-guide-box Towards the bottom of this summary is per capita hospitalizations. That is a better measurement of the Covid19 impact as the treatment has improved preventing deaths. It the public health measures that flatten the curve on positive tests and hospitalizations.
Raise you hand if you think massive hospitalizations were avoided because of mask wearing, social distancing, hand washing, testing, contact tracing and a scientific approach to the ‘China virus’ plus an informed public