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    POLITICS | Sabato’s Crystal Ball Moves CA-25 to Tossup

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    Sabato’s Crystal Ball Moves CA-25 to Tossup

    Kraushaar: Biggest political upset of 2020?

    From UVA Center for Politics:
    “… the special election throws a real wrinkle into the race….
    If door-to-door campaigning is limited or eliminated, some observers believe Democrats may be hurt more than Republicans as each side tries to get their voters to submit their ballots (every registered voter in the district will be mailed a ballot with a prepaid postage return envelope provided). 
    “Both the National Republican Congressional Committee and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee have begun spending in the race, a sign that it probably will be highly engaged through the special election. This may be one of the first electoral tests of public attitudes in the time of the coronavirus, and the race may eventually attract broader media attention…
    The uncertainty leads us to move the race from Leans Democratic to Toss-up.”

    National Journal Politics Editor Josh Kraushaar:
    “Biggest political upset of 2020? Republicans with a 50-50 shot at winning back Katie Hill’s #CA25 seat in May special election…”


    Mike Garcia believes in a strong national defense and is a pro-business, pro-taxpayer, political outsider with nearly 20 years of service to this country as one of the first Super Hornet strike fighter pilots in the Navy and is a highly decorated US Naval Officer.  Garcia is a first-generation American whose father immigrated to the US in 1959 and has lived in the 25th district for nearly all of his life.  Garcia lives in Santa Clarita with his wife and two sons. He was named to the National Republican Congressional Committee’s Young Guns program as one of the top GOP candidates in the country. 

    The 25th district encompasses the cities of Santa Clarita, Simi Valley, Palmdale, Lancaster and the northern part of the San Fernando Valley.  The median income is $76,866 and the ethnic breakdown is 45.8% White, 8% Black, 7.7% Asian and 35.3% Hispanic.

    To learn more about Mike and his campaign for Congress, visit


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