This week President Trump released a memo meant to stop unauthorized immigrants from being included in the census numbers, which are used to apportion seats in Congress. If he were to have his way — which looks unlikely — California could take a big hit politically.
But Trump’s wishes aside, a new study from Claremont McKenna College predicts that California could lose two representatives anyway, simply because the state’s population growth has slowed and immigration into California has declined.
That team, led by research affiliate Douglas Johnson, predicts one seat would likely be taken from the San Gabriel Valley, which has grown particularly slowly over the last decade.
The loss of one seat has been predicted for some time, but lately it’s looking more dire: According to new calculations from data firm ESRI, the margin for California to lose a second seat is only 1,300 people — and that’s assuming every Californian completes the census, something that’s not likely to happen.
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