Poll: Voters Split Evenly On Whether To Recall Newsom
(The Center Square) – A New Emerson College poll shows that California voters are practically split on whether to recall Gov. Gavin Newsom.
The Emerson poll indicates a statistical tie between likely voters who favor removing Newsom (46%) and those who don’t (48%), which falls within the margin of error of 3%. The poll was conducted between July 30 and Aug. 1.
Undecided voters have moved more toward recalling than not recalling, by an increase of 3% compared to the next most recent poll conducted in early July. The majority of Hispanic voters, 54%, favor removing Newsom, according to the poll.
Gov. Gavin Newsom discusses his revised state budget proposal during a news conference at the CalFire/Cameron Park Fire Station in Cameron Park, Calif.
White respondents remain split (48% recall/49% keep); whereas the majorities of Black (41% recall/57% keep) and Asian (30% recall/49% keep) respondents favor keeping Newsom as governor.
While a plurality of voters, 40%, remain unsure about which candidate they would choose to replace Newsom if a majority votes to recall, among those who are decided, Republican Larry Elder holds a commanding lead.
If elected, Elder would be the first black Republican governor of California.
Since July’s poll, Elder has gained seven percentage points, now receiving 23% support, three times that of his next closest challengers. Forty-four percent of Republicans and 29% of Independents say they are planning to vote for Elder. A majority, 55%, of those who voted for former President Donald Trump in 2020 say they are voting for Elder.
Businessman John Cox and television personality Caitlyn Jenner received 7% support, followed by California State Assemblyman Kevin Kiley at 5%, former San Diego mayor Kevin Faulconer at 4%, and social media influencer Kevin Paffrath at 1%. Thirteen percent said they plan to vote for someone else.
The majority of those who said they voted for Biden in 2020, 70%, said they were undecided.
Men remain split on the recall, with 47% both supporting and opposing it; women favor keeping Newsom by a margin of 7 points.
The primary issue of concern to voters is homelessness, followed by housing, COVD-19, crime, the environment, jobs, and education. However, Spencer Kimball, director of Emerson College Polling, said, “this poll suggests that the tightening of the race could be attributed to people’s increased concern on crime.”
Early voting begins mid-August, after the first mail-in ballots are sent to voters. California is still operating under state shutdown voting rules, meaning that ballots will be sent to all registered voters, not only to those who requested them.
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It’s very important that those preferring Larry Elder not hesitate to vote. We will need every vote w can get considering the policy of this State still living in COVID voting rules that are full of potential ways to steal anointed election.
the informed public stopped listening to polls years ago..
On the other hand this poll says 51% want Newsom gone!
https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/california/story/2021-08-04/majority-of-voters-would-remove-newsom-from-governors-office-poll-finds
Nicholas:
That would be so ONLY if this is an honest election
Another loser complaining about honest elections. Move on people the one term, twice impeached loser lost, by a large majority. Plus he’s going to jail soon, before the Supreme Court votes to reinstate him.
Also, I like Newsome.
No complaints, Bob; just a reasonable observation.
Honest Elections? In 2020? HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!
Bob, can I be frank? Your responses are always so condemning and uninformed. Basically, I’m always expecting an idiotic spew, from you. It was your side, that started an impeachment campaign, before “bad orange man”, was even sworn in. Then, we had to listen to your party members and their media propaganda wing, cry out for 4 years, “not my president” and “the election was stolen, with the help of Russia” hoax. Your side NEVER “moved on”, despite being trounced by a larger majority. The only losers I see, is your side, in the 2022 and 2024 elections…if we can keep your side’s election fraud, to a minimum. We’ve seen how your side slid in a Trojan Horse, for the radical left in your party. The harm your side is doing to this country, is plainly visible, to those who are clear thinkers. We know that it was your side that supported and encouraged the looting, arson and violence, that we saw in the streets of Democrat controlled cities, nearly all of last year…and dear Kamala helped to bail out those criminals, with no charges. That was real “insurrection” and anarchy, to our country. We will not forget how your side labels as racists, just because we’re white, or don’t want to think like you. We’ve seen how your side rules with executive orders, illegal decrees and “laws” that are in violation of our Constitution. That is how dictators and authoritarian governments rule. Actually, I look forward to the day, when “mostly peaceful protests” by the other side, arrive on your doorsteps, businesses and places of employment. You all deserve, what you expect others to tolerate.