The Mythical Housing Affordability Crisis

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California is expensive to anyone who wants to move here, but is that a “crisis”? State Treasurer John Chiang and the bureaucrats in Sacramento want you to believe this so they can add another 5 million people to the state, and they don’t want to stop there. More people everywhere, more cars on jam packed streets and freeways, more kids in  already crowded schools, water resources further drained, more pollution and environmental damage. The character and nature of our state and every community changed forever. Sacramento wants them to live in YOUR neighborhood. Why should we let them ruin the good thing we’ve sacrificed and paid for?
Let’s examine home ownership affordability in the state. According to records from the California Association of REALTORS their Affordability index is currently at 34, meaning 34% of California families – using traditional metrics – can afford to buy the median priced California home. The lowest this index has been in 28 years was 22% in 1991 and the highest the index has been was 56% in 2012. For comparison the national affordability index is at 60%. So California is expensive, but it has been for decades. If home ownership, currently 54% in the California, were truly unaffordable, the mortgage delinquency rate in California would reflect massive defaults. But only 1.41% of California mortgages are at risk of foreclosure, meaning 98.59% of California homeowners with a mortgage are affording them. Does that sound like a crisis or a reason to add another 5 million people to the state?
The definition of “unaffordable” is “too expensive for people to be able to buy or pay for.” At California’s current median price, homes are selling so fast the current statewide inventory of unsold homes would last only 3.5 months if new inventory didn’t regularly come on the market. This sales pace is with nearly every loan requiring very strict qualifying standards.
State Treasurer Jon Chiang wants your community to grow because not everyone who wants to live in it can afford it. There will always be people who can’t afford to live wherever they want. I would love to live in Montecito, so should Sacramento make that affordable for me, for everyone else in the state, or in the country? The state is not one median house price. It has expensive areas and cheap neighborhoods, many a relatively short commute between. In Santa Barbara county the median price on the south coast is $1,200,000 for a single family home. Less than an hour away in Lompoc the median single family home sales price is $310,000 and two bedroom apartments that rent for $1,950 a month in Santa Barbara go for $1,050 in Lompoc. But of course, there are still people who can’t afford even that. Luckily, even while renters tend to stay in a residence for a median of 4 years, they can leave for more affordable digs with just a 30 day notice.
So, maybe California isn’t for everyone? But should it be? Should we have everyone in the United States living here? Maybe there are better opportunities in other parts of our great country for those who find us too expensive? According to Bloomberg median price for starter homes in Atlanta, GA is $87,000; St. Louis, MO $65,000; and Detroit, MI $33,075. Many homes can be had for less! My best friend from Dos Pueblos High School in Goleta moved his wife, who grew up in Ventura, and their two children, to Colorado Springs for a more affordable home purchase. A close friend from Goleta Valley Junior High moved to Dallas and found a wife, job, and homeownership. One of my brothers, who grew up here, is very happy with his family in Denver, owning a $450,000 home that would cost at least $1,300,000 in Santa Barbara.
If you don’t build them they won’t come, and the ones who can’t afford to live here will move to less expensive communities. Let’s not spoil the good state we have to make Sacramento and developers happy.
Ed Fuller is a candidate for California Assembly Member representing the 37th district which encompasses the southern half of Santa Barbara county and northern Ventura county. Visit his website,, for more information.
FullerEdHeadEdward Fuller for Assembly 2016
An Independent Choice for an Independent Voice
For further information contact Ed Fuller at (805) 689-5098, (805) 570-6988 or [email protected]
Ed Fuller is also a Planning Commissioner for the city of Goleta, but the views expressed above are his alone.
Edward Fuller for Assembly 2016
FPPC ID #1386171
(805) 689-5098

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William "Bill" Hicks

It’s an excuse for “affordable housing” projects like the mixed use plans for Thousand Oaks Blvd. It dovetails into such agenda’s as “sustainable” housing and United Nations Agenda 21 goals.

I guess we could afford section 8 type housing that might actually be the goal with this outcry for “affordable Housing.