Underestimation of Net Zero Water Fees Ventura

 

By Dan Cormode

  1. A comparison of costs associated with the development of new water sources was generated and results of the comparison revealed there was an inconsistency in the estimated costs between different documents and the value of the Net Zero fee is underestimated.  See Table 1.
  1. Estimated costs contained in the Capital Improvement Plans do not reflect the total cost of a project as they do not include financing costs.
  2. The original Net Zero cost estimate appears to be incomplete as it does not include all of the costs related to project as identified in the 2016-2022 CIP or proposed 2018-2024 CIP.
  3. The Total Cost of the projects based on Sum of 2016-2022 CIP Project descriptions is estimated to be $328,952,950 which is 32% greater than total project costs of $248,664,974 identified in the Water Commission Net Zero Presentation of December 22, 2015.
  4. The Total Cost of the projects based on Sum of 2018-2024 CIP Project descriptions is estimated to be $420,840,411 which is 46% greater than total project costs of $248,664,974 identified in the Water Commission Net Zero Presentation of December 22, 2015.
  5. Foster Park Wellfield Yield amount is for protection of water rights and since water rights to not yield wet water, the Ventura River/Foster Park Wellfield was reduced to zero.


  1. Table 2 – Water Consumption Planning Factors
      Raw Consumption Factor (CY 2012) Adjustment for Water Loss (+6.5%) Adjustment for Planning Purposes (+20%) Adjustment for Planning Purposes (+20%) Water consumption (CY2012)
    Residential (0-8 du/ac) 292 gpd/du 311 gpd/du 370 gpd/du 0.414 afy/du 7,855
    Residential (9-20 du/ac) 189 gpd/du 201 gpd/du 250 gpd/du 0.280 afy/du 4,178
    Residential (21+ du/ac) 189 du/ac 201 gpd/du 250 gpd/du 0.280 afy/du
    Commercial/ Retail/ Industrial / Hotel/ Public/ Institutional 206 gpd/ksf 220 gpd/ksf 265 gpd/ksf 0.276 afy/ksf 4,260
    Hospital/ Assisted Living 424 gpd/bed 452 gpd/bed 545 gpd/bed 0.610 afy/du 235
    Parks/ Landscape/ Irrigation 1,566 gpd/ac 2,000 gpd/ac 1,668 gpd/ac 1.868 afy/ac 1,475
            Total 18,003

    Total Water Consumption and Planning Factors were developed from the 2013 Comprehensive Water Resources Report and are shown in Table 2.

  1. It was determined that there was a total of 43,000 residential dwelling units using data extracted from Table 2-3 of the 2013 Comprehensive Water Resources Report (CWRR) and is shown in Table 3.
Table 3 – Summary of Existing Land Use – Dec 2012
  Single Family Residential (du) Residential Multifamily (du) Non-Residential (sf)
Existing(as of 2005 General Plan) 22,034 17,142 15,923,154
Constructed (Built Projects 2006-2012) 543 1,369 1,394,442
Total Existing Land Use (through 2012) 22,577 18,511 17,317,596
Total Residential 43,000  
Source: Comprehensive Water Resources Report Table 2-3

 

  1. An analysis was conducted in order to compare Net Zero fees collected annually using the original Net Zero fee of $26,457 per acre-foot and the real estimated value of $61,009.06 per acre-foot.  The analysis revealed that for the years 2018-2034 the total fees collected would be $66,025,044 under the $26,457 per acre-foot fee and $151,735,633 with the water valued at $61,009.06 per acre-foot.  See Table 4.
Table 4 – Comparison of Net Zero Fees Collected
  Residential Dwelling Units Water Demand (af/du)* Net Zero Fees/yr @ $26,457/af Value of Water @ $61,009.06/ af
2005 General Plan 39,176 16,376    
2005-2016 2,153 900    
2017 350 146    
2018 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2019 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2020 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2021 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2022 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2023 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2024 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2025 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2026 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2027 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2028 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2029 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2030 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2031 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2032 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2033 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
2034 350 146 $3,883,826 $8,925,625
Total 47,629 19,909 $66,025,044 $151,735,633
Note:        
* Based on 18003 afy/43,000 du = 0.418 afy/du

 

  1. It is requested that the above factors be considered as part of the current cost of water and water rate discussions.

Daniel Cormode is a Ventura resident and the Chairman of the Planning & Development Committee for The East Ventura Community Council. He  has dedicated his life to researching Ventura water issues.


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